Executive Director of Global InfoAnalytics, Mussa Dankwah, says recent polling from the Kpandai Constituency shows that while voter sentiment broadly favours the ruling National Democratic Congress (NDC), the parliamentary contest remains too close to call.
The findings come ahead of the December 30 parliamentary election rerun ordered by the Tamale High Court on November 24, following the annulment of the 2024 results and the declaration of the Kpandai seat as vacant.
Speaking on Channel One Newsroom on Saturday, December 13, Mr. Dankwah explained that general national mood indicators in the constituency currently favour the governing party.
“The sentiments in Kpandai overall appear to favour the ruling NDC government in the sense that you have a majority of voters saying that the country is heading in the right direction,” he said.
Strong National Mood Indicators
According to the poll, 66 percent of respondents believe Ghana is moving in the right direction, while 26 percent say the country is on the wrong path. Eight percent expressed no opinion.
Presidential approval ratings in the constituency were also relatively high. Sixty-four percent of respondents said they approve of the President’s performance, compared with 27 percent who disapprove. Nine percent were undecided.
On personal economic conditions, 54 percent of respondents reported that their situation had improved, 34 percent said it had remained the same, and 11 percent indicated it had worsened. One percent had no opinion.
“So broadly, this is a sentiment that should really carry the NDC candidate across the finish line quite easily,” Mr. Dankwah observed.
Parliamentary Contest Still Open
Despite these favourable indicators for the governing party, Mr. Dankwah cautioned that the actual parliamentary race in Kpandai remains highly competitive.
“What we’ve seen in the poll when it comes to the parliamentary election is that it is too close to call. The margin is just within the margin of error,” he noted.
He explained that the tight margins make it impossible to predict the outcome with certainty at this stage.
“For that reason, we have to wait for the final poll to see which direction the election will go,” he added.
Background to the Rerun
The Electoral Commission formally received notice from the Clerk of Parliament on December 8 declaring the Kpandai seat vacant, paving the way for the December 30 rerun.
Former MP Matthew Nyindam has contested the High Court ruling, insisting that the 2024 parliamentary election was conducted fairly. Despite ongoing legal challenges, he has confirmed his participation in the rerun.
The rerun will feature the same candidates who contested the 2024 parliamentary election.
